Destined for War : Can America and China Escape Thucydides’s Trap?
by Graham Allison
Editor: HOUGHTON MIFFLIN
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CHINA AND THE UNITED STATES ARE HEADING TOWARDS A WAR OR WANTINGThe reason for this is Thucydide’s mortal trap structural model is to emphasize that the results in a rising power of the challenges of a decisionThis phenomenon is as old as history itselfAbout the Peloponnese War, which ravaged ancient Greece, historian Thucydides explained:”It is the rise to power of Athens and fear that this movement in Sparta, which made the war inevitable”Over the past 500 years, these conditions have occurred 16 timesWar broke out in twelve of them.Today, as an irresistible China approaches a building in America and the two Xi Jinping and Donald Trump promise to make their country “still big,” the seventeenth case the dark air.Unless China is ready to scale up its ambitions or Washington, can agree to become the number two in the Pacific, a trade dispute, cyber attack, or accident at sea could quickly degenerate into war.In The Destinies of War, eminent Harvard researcher Graham Allison explains why Thucydide Trap is the best objective for understanding the U. S. -the relations between China in the twenty-first centuryThrough the disturbing strangeness of historical parallels and war scenarios, it shows how close we are to the unthinkable.Yet, while emphasizing that war is not inevitable, Allison also reveals how shocking powers have kept the peace in the past, and from this painful steps the United States and China must take to avoid today’s disaster
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